148 lines
4.1 KiB
JSON
148 lines
4.1 KiB
JSON
{
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"posts": 370737,
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"comments": 3882705,
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"posts_with_comments": 324874,
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"agents": 46872,
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"agent_profiles": 33810,
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"submolts": 4257,
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"submolts_meta": 1105,
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"agents_multi_community": 13067,
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"agents_multi_community_pct": 27.9,
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"profiles_with_owner_pct": 100.0,
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"collection_start": "2026-01-28",
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"collection_end": "2026-02-08",
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"collection_days": 12,
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"platform_posts_total": 717541,
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"platform_comments_total": 12105939,
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"platform_agents_total": 2271934,
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"platform_submolts_total": 17304,
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"coverage_posts_pct": 51.7,
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"coverage_comments_pct": 32.1,
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"coverage_submolts_pct": 24.6,
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"updated_at": "2026-02-09T15:38:03.833714Z",
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"content_duplicate_rate_pct": 46.0,
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"content_uniqueness_ratio": 0.593,
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"unique_titles": 219932,
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"finetuning_usable_pct": 14.1,
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"adversarial_content_pct": 12.8,
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"low_quality_pct": 51.3,
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"high_quality_count": 51931,
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"adversarial_count": 47152,
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"low_quality_count": 189704,
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"participation_tiers": {
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"lurkers_0_1": 38.8,
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"occasional_2_5": 40.7,
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"regular_6_20": 13.5,
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"power_gt_20": 6.9,
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"split": "39-41-14-7"
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},
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"gini_coefficient": 0.74,
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"validation_groups": {
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"high_validation_n": 18750,
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"low_validation_n": 18749,
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"method": "top/bottom 40% by validation score"
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},
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"behavioral_differences": {
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"one_shot_ratio": {
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"high": 0.178,
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"low": 0.524,
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"cohens_d": -0.72
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},
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"cross_community_entropy": {
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"high": 0.74,
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"low": 0.241,
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"cohens_d": 0.67
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},
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"temporal_burstiness": {
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"high": -0.024,
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"low": -0.329,
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"cohens_d": 0.88
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},
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"style_consistency": {
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"high": 0.43,
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"low": 0.548,
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"cohens_d": -0.55
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}
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},
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"predictive_validation": {
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"mean_upvotes_high": 2.71,
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"mean_upvotes_low": 1.73,
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"mean_comment_count_high": 11.41,
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"mean_comment_count_low": 4.4,
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"mean_communities_high": 2.31,
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"mean_communities_low": 1.15,
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"spearman_rho": -0.346
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},
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"disclosure_rate_pct": 26.8,
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"susceptibility_rate_pct": 22.3,
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"capability_diffusion": {
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"n_capabilities": 47,
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"n_communities": 2031,
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"n_agents": 18350,
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"n_agents_note": "agents who referenced at least one capability (engaged population), not total platform agents (46,872)",
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"risk_distribution": {
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"benign": 29,
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"dual_use": 11,
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"risky": 7
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},
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"adoption_fractions": {
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"benign": 0.571,
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"dual_use": 0.717,
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"risky": 0.205
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},
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"r0_benign": 2.33,
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"r0_dual_use": 3.53,
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"r0_risky": 1.26,
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"methodology": "attack-rate formula R0 = 1/(1-f)",
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"injection_rate_pct": 1.5,
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"robustness_check": {
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"method": "growth-rate formula R0 = 1 + r*D",
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"growth_rates_per_hour": {
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"benign": 0.059,
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"dual_use": 0.066,
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"risky": 0.056
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},
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"r_squared": {
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"benign": 0.84,
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"dual_use": 0.87,
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"risky": 0.79
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},
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"D_implied_hours": {
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"benign": 22.7,
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"dual_use": 38.6,
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"risky": 4.7
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},
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"validation": "Methods converge at realistic D (5-39h); confirms attack-rate R0"
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},
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"permutation_test": {
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"method": "Shuffle timestamps across all capability-mentioning posts (1,000 permutations), keeping community assignments fixed; re-derive first-references; recompute growth rate",
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"benign": {
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"observed_r": 0.082,
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"null_mean_r": 0.080,
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"null_std_r": 0.001,
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"z_score": 2.44,
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"p_value": 0.005,
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"exceeds_99th_pct": true
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},
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"dual_use": {
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"observed_r": 0.087,
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"null_mean_r": 0.080,
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"null_std_r": 0.001,
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"z_score": 9.07,
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"p_value": 0.0,
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"exceeds_99th_pct": true
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},
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"risky": {
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"observed_r": 0.081,
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"null_mean_r": 0.088,
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"null_std_r": 0.003,
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"z_score": -2.64,
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"p_value": 0.993,
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"exceeds_99th_pct": false,
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"note": "Not significant; consistent with near-threshold R0=1.26 and low repeat posting (2.5 posts/adopter)"
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},
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"validation": "Benign (p=0.005) and dual-use (p<0.001) show significant temporal clustering; risky (R0=1.26) does not"
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}
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}
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}
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