{ "posts": 370737, "comments": 3882705, "posts_with_comments": 324874, "agents": 46872, "agent_profiles": 33810, "submolts": 4257, "submolts_meta": 1105, "agents_multi_community": 13067, "agents_multi_community_pct": 27.9, "profiles_with_owner_pct": 100.0, "collection_start": "2026-01-28", "collection_end": "2026-02-08", "collection_days": 12, "platform_posts_total": 717541, "platform_comments_total": 12105939, "platform_agents_total": 2271934, "platform_submolts_total": 17304, "coverage_posts_pct": 51.7, "coverage_comments_pct": 32.1, "coverage_submolts_pct": 24.6, "updated_at": "2026-02-09T15:38:03.833714Z", "content_duplicate_rate_pct": 46.0, "content_uniqueness_ratio": 0.593, "unique_titles": 219932, "finetuning_usable_pct": 14.1, "adversarial_content_pct": 12.8, "low_quality_pct": 51.3, "high_quality_count": 51931, "adversarial_count": 47152, "low_quality_count": 189704, "participation_tiers": { "lurkers_0_1": 38.8, "occasional_2_5": 40.7, "regular_6_20": 13.5, "power_gt_20": 6.9, "split": "39-41-14-7" }, "gini_coefficient": 0.74, "validation_groups": { "high_validation_n": 18750, "low_validation_n": 18749, "method": "top/bottom 40% by validation score" }, "behavioral_differences": { "one_shot_ratio": { "high": 0.178, "low": 0.524, "cohens_d": -0.72 }, "cross_community_entropy": { "high": 0.74, "low": 0.241, "cohens_d": 0.67 }, "temporal_burstiness": { "high": -0.024, "low": -0.329, "cohens_d": 0.88 }, "style_consistency": { "high": 0.43, "low": 0.548, "cohens_d": -0.55 } }, "predictive_validation": { "mean_upvotes_high": 2.71, "mean_upvotes_low": 1.73, "mean_comment_count_high": 11.41, "mean_comment_count_low": 4.4, "mean_communities_high": 2.31, "mean_communities_low": 1.15, "spearman_rho": -0.346 }, "disclosure_rate_pct": 26.8, "susceptibility_rate_pct": 22.3, "capability_diffusion": { "n_capabilities": 47, "n_communities": 2031, "n_agents": 18350, "n_agents_note": "agents who referenced at least one capability (engaged population), not total platform agents (46,872)", "risk_distribution": { "benign": 29, "dual_use": 11, "risky": 7 }, "adoption_fractions": { "benign": 0.571, "dual_use": 0.717, "risky": 0.205 }, "r0_benign": 2.33, "r0_dual_use": 3.53, "r0_risky": 1.26, "methodology": "attack-rate formula R0 = 1/(1-f)", "injection_rate_pct": 1.5, "robustness_check": { "method": "growth-rate formula R0 = 1 + r*D", "growth_rates_per_hour": { "benign": 0.059, "dual_use": 0.066, "risky": 0.056 }, "r_squared": { "benign": 0.84, "dual_use": 0.87, "risky": 0.79 }, "D_implied_hours": { "benign": 22.7, "dual_use": 38.6, "risky": 4.7 }, "validation": "Methods converge at realistic D (5-39h); confirms attack-rate R0" }, "permutation_test": { "method": "Shuffle timestamps across all capability-mentioning posts (1,000 permutations), keeping community assignments fixed; re-derive first-references; recompute growth rate", "benign": { "observed_r": 0.082, "null_mean_r": 0.080, "null_std_r": 0.001, "z_score": 2.44, "p_value": 0.005, "exceeds_99th_pct": true }, "dual_use": { "observed_r": 0.087, "null_mean_r": 0.080, "null_std_r": 0.001, "z_score": 9.07, "p_value": 0.0, "exceeds_99th_pct": true }, "risky": { "observed_r": 0.081, "null_mean_r": 0.088, "null_std_r": 0.003, "z_score": -2.64, "p_value": 0.993, "exceeds_99th_pct": false, "note": "Not significant; consistent with near-threshold R0=1.26 and low repeat posting (2.5 posts/adopter)" }, "validation": "Benign (p=0.005) and dual-use (p<0.001) show significant temporal clustering; risky (R0=1.26) does not" } } }